Portsmouth 1-1 Oxford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.8
6+ Goals
10%
16.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.61
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
15%
5.27
X/2
8%
5.61
X/X
11%
4.44
2/1 EV+
9%
29.0
2/2
22%
3.94
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford United EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portsmouth
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Oxford United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.18 xG 1.45
52% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
296 Passes 271
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Portsmouth Portsmouth 2-1 HT 1-1 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
30.01.2024 Oxford United Oxford United 2-2 HT 1-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
18.04.2023 Oxford United Oxford United 1-1 HT 1-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
25.10.2022 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-1 HT 0-1 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
01.03.2022 Portsmouth Portsmouth 3-2 HT 2-1 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
05.02.2022 Oxford United Oxford United 3-2 HT 1-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portsmouth
1-1
AWAY Oxford United
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
278 Passes 229
67% Pass Accuracy 64%
POST-MATCH Portsmouth vs Oxford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portsmouth and Oxford United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Portsmouth had 54% of the ball to Oxford United's 46%, shots finished 21-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portsmouth had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Portsmouth and 1.67 for Oxford United.

What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Oxford United?

Portsmouth 1-1 Oxford United in the England - Championship on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portsmouth vs Oxford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portsmouth win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Portsmouth 37%, draw 26%, Oxford United 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ BTTS Yes
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