Burnley 0-0 Preston North End — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.5
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.73
6+ Goals
10%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.42
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.55
X/1
10%
3.82
X/2
7%
8.7
X/X
11%
4.15
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
8%
7.55
2/X
7%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston North End EU Bookmakers 24%
+9% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -6%
1.43/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.32
+40% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 71%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
19.0 Crosses 15.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Preston North End
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 0.52
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
394 Passes 204
76% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2023 Burnley Burnley 3-0 HT 1-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
13.09.2022 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 1-1 Burnley Burnley İNCL
23.07.2018 Preston North End Preston North End 2-3 HT 1-1 Burnley Burnley HAZ
25.07.2017 Preston North End Preston North End 1-2 HT 0-1 Burnley Burnley HAZ
22.04.2016 Preston North End Preston North End 0-1 HT 0-1 Burnley Burnley İNCL
05.12.2015 Burnley Burnley 0-2 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burnley
0-0
AWAY Preston North End
0.46 xG 0.85
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
434 Passes 235
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Burnley vs Preston North End
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley and Preston North End played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Burnley at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Burnley had 60% of the ball to Preston North End's 40%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.46 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Burnley and 1.00 for Preston North End.

What was the final score of Burnley vs Preston North End?

Burnley 0-0 Preston North End in the England - Championship on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley vs Preston North End?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Burnley 53%, draw 25%, Preston North End 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Burnley) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burnley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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