Swansea City 0-0 Stoke City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.91
Over 2.5
40%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.68
No
57%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.52
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 34% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.11
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
13%
4.97
X/2
9%
6.37
X/X
15%
4.74
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
16%
4.41
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.8pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.39/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.31
+0% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
19.5 Crosses 18.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Stoke City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.86 xG 2.10
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
383 Passes 291
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2024 Swansea City Swansea City 3-0 HT 1-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
12.12.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 1-1 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
21.02.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 1-3 HT 1-2 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
31.08.2022 Stoke City Stoke City 1-1 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
08.02.2022 Stoke City Stoke City 3-0 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
17.08.2021 Swansea City Swansea City 1-3 HT 0-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
0-0
AWAY Stoke City
2.04 xG 0.88
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
415 Passes 194
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
33 Box Touches 21
30 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Stoke City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City and Stoke City played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Swansea City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Swansea City had 64% of the ball to Stoke City's 36%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.04 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stoke City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Swansea City and 1.83 for Stoke City.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Stoke City?

Swansea City 0-0 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Stoke City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 42%, draw 28%, Stoke City 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Swansea City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swansea City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
5 Oct 2024
00:00 Portsmouth vs Oxford United Analysis →
14:30 Norwich City vs Hull City Analysis →
14:30 Burnley vs Preston North End Analysis →
17:00 Derby County vs Queens Park Rangers Analysis →
17:00 Sheffield United vs Luton Town Analysis →
17:00 Plymouth Argyle vs Blackburn Rovers Analysis →