Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 31% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.37
1/2
8%
24.45
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
8%
6.47
X/2
12%
4.97
X/X
13%
5.0
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
19%
3.03
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.8pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 46%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -27%
0.98/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.94
+26% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -30%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
257 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 78%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.2
18.3 Crosses 15.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Argyle
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.74 xG 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
406 Passes 288
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
02.09.2023 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 3-0 HT 1-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
03.02.2018 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-0 HT 2-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İN1
17.10.2017 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-1 HT 1-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Argyle
2-1
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.67 xG 0.69
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
438 Passes 335
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
40 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Plymouth Argyle vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Argyle edged past Blackburn Rovers 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Plymouth Argyle made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 54% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 46%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.67 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Plymouth Argyle had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 0.50 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Blackburn Rovers?

Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Blackburn Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 35%, draw 26%, Blackburn Rovers 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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