Sheffield United 2-0 Luton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 33% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.69
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
18%
4.33
X/2
11%
7.3
X/X
13%
4.62
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
11%
5.57
2/X
8%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Luton Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.74/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.23
+18% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 72%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.0 Crosses 15.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Luton Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.46 xG 0.88
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
305 Passes 252
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 0
10.02.2024 Luton Town Luton Town 1-3 HT 0-2 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNP
26.12.2023 Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-3 HT 0-1 Luton Town Luton Town İNP
11.03.2023 Sheffield United Sheffield United 0-1 HT 0-0 Luton Town Luton Town İNCL
26.08.2022 Luton Town Luton Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
22.01.2022 Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-0 HT 0-0 Luton Town Luton Town İNCL
28.08.2021 Luton Town Luton Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield United
2-0
AWAY Luton Town
1.43 xG 0.39
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
478 Passes 224
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
35 Box Touches 15
9 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sheffield United vs Luton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield United beat Luton Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sheffield United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sheffield United had 63% of the ball to Luton Town's 37%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.43 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sheffield United and 1.00 for Luton Town.

What was the final score of Sheffield United vs Luton Town?

Sheffield United 2-0 Luton Town in the England - Championship on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield United vs Luton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sheffield United 43%, draw 29%, Luton Town 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sheffield United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sheffield United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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