Norwich City 4-0 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.41
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
28%
2.94
6+ Goals
12%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.61
1/2
10%
33.5
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
12%
4.76
X/2
11%
7.67
X/X
11%
5.27
2/1
9%
22.3
2/2
13%
5.11
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.8pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +29%
1.55/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.32
+16% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.4 Crosses 15.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hull City
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.54 xG 0.82
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
436 Passes 307
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.01.2024 Hull City Hull City 1-2 HT 0-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
05.08.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 2-1 HT 1-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
14.02.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 3-1 HT 1-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
13.08.2022 Hull City Hull City 2-1 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
13.03.2019 Norwich City Norwich City 3-2 HT 2-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
27.11.2018 Hull City Hull City 0-0 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
4-0
AWAY Hull City
3.83 xG 0.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
470 Passes 351
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
33 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City cruised past Hull City 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Norwich City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Norwich City had 56% of the ball to Hull City's 44%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 3.83 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Norwich City and 1.17 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs Hull City?

Norwich City 4-0 Hull City in the England - Championship on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 43%, draw 24%, Hull City 33%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norwich City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Norwich City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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