Swansea City 3-0 Stoke City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 10 Apr 2024

📅10/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 30% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.58
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
12%
5.51
X/2
12%
5.77
X/X
12%
4.66
2/1
10%
27.5
2/2
15%
3.81
2/X
6%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.6pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
1.42/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.19
+3% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
292 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 76%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.6 Crosses 19.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Stoke City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.80 xG 2.28
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
373 Passes 305
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.12.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 1-1 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
21.02.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 1-3 HT 1-2 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
31.08.2022 Stoke City Stoke City 1-1 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
08.02.2022 Stoke City Stoke City 3-0 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
17.08.2021 Swansea City Swansea City 1-3 HT 0-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
03.03.2021 Stoke City Stoke City 1-2 HT 1-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
3-0
AWAY Stoke City
1.85 xG 0.31
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
283 Passes 258
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Stoke City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City cruised past Stoke City 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Swansea City made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Swansea City had 51% of the ball to Stoke City's 49%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.85 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stoke City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Swansea City and 2.00 for Stoke City.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Stoke City?

Swansea City 3-0 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Stoke City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 39%, draw 26%, Stoke City 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swansea City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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