Hull City 2-2 Middlesbrough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 10 Apr 2024

📅10/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 29% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.4
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
9%
5.31
X/2
13%
5.9
X/X
11%
4.83
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
18%
3.93
2/X
6%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.6pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hull City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.31/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.07
-8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
279 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 70%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
20.9 Crosses 17.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hull City
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Middlesbrough
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.76 xG 1.37
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
318 Passes 388
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2023 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-2 HT 1-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
19.04.2023 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 3-1 HT 0-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
01.11.2022 Hull City Hull City 1-3 HT 0-1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
09.04.2022 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-1 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
02.10.2021 Hull City Hull City 2-0 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
02.07.2020 Hull City Hull City 2-1 HT 1-1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hull City
2-2
AWAY Middlesbrough
1.68 xG 1.85
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
592 Passes 351
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
38 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hull City vs Middlesbrough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hull City and Middlesbrough shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hull City had 60% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 40%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.68 to 1.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hull City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hull City and 1.33 for Middlesbrough.

What was the final score of Hull City vs Middlesbrough?

Hull City 2-2 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hull City vs Middlesbrough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hull City 35%, draw 26%, Middlesbrough 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Middlesbrough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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