Bristol City 5-0 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 10 Apr 2024

📅10/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.21
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.67
6+ Goals
8%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 29% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.74
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
11%
12.85
X/1
12%
5.53
X/2
9%
5.57
X/X
13%
4.42
2/1
11%
29.5
2/2
13%
3.78
2/X
5%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
1.18/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.09
-5% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
295 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 71%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
19.2 Crosses 14.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.01 xG 1.21
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
273 Passes 391
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.12.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
21.01.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 1-1 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
03.09.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-3 HT 0-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
12.03.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
20.11.2021 Bristol City Bristol City 1-1 HT 1-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
17.03.2021 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol City
5-0
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
3.39 xG 0.61
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
334 Passes 433
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol City swept aside Blackburn Rovers 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bristol City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bristol City had 45% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 55%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 3.39 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bristol City and 1.00 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers?

Bristol City 5-0 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bristol City 41%, draw 29%, Blackburn Rovers 30%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bristol City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bristol City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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