Birmingham 0-1 Cardiff City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 10 Apr 2024

Birmingham
0-1 HT 0-0
Cardiff City
📅10/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Birmingham vs Cardiff City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
19.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.57
1/2
12%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
15%
4.12
X/2
11%
7.82
X/X
15%
4.41
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
10%
6.29
2/X
6%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-11.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Birmingham v Cardiff City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +30%
1.46/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.29
-1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
295 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 72%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
19.6 Crosses 15.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Birmingham vs Cardiff City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cardiff City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.99 xG 1.49
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
196 Passes 332
66% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.12.2023 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-1 HT 0-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
29.08.2023 Birmingham Birmingham 1-3 HT 0-1 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNLK
14.02.2023 Birmingham Birmingham 0-2 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
13.08.2022 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
30.04.2022 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-1 HT 0-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
11.12.2021 Birmingham Birmingham 2-2 HT 2-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL

Birmingham 0-1 Cardiff City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham
0-1
AWAY Cardiff City
0.59 xG 1.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 Passes 273
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Birmingham vs Cardiff City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City nicked a narrow win over Birmingham 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Cardiff City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Birmingham had 56% of the ball to Cardiff City's 44%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.59 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Birmingham and 1.50 for Cardiff City.

What was the final score of Birmingham vs Cardiff City?

Birmingham 0-1 Cardiff City in the England - Championship on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham vs Cardiff City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Birmingham 38%, draw 29%, Cardiff City 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Birmingham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birmingham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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