Meshakhte 1-4 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+6.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meshakhte EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 57%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +19%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/0.76
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +28%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
234 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meshakhte
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Saburtalo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2026 Saburtalo 2-2 HT 1-0 Meshakhte Meshakhte GUR
23.09.2025 Meshakhte Meshakhte 0-3 HT 0-3 Saburtalo GURCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meshakhte
1-4
AWAY Saburtalo
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Meshakhte vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo swept aside Meshakhte 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Meshakhte had 48% of the ball to Saburtalo's 52%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Saburtalo led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Meshakhte and 2.50 for Saburtalo.

What was the final score of Meshakhte vs Saburtalo?

Meshakhte 1-4 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meshakhte vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Meshakhte 27%, draw 23%, Saburtalo 50%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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