Samgurali 2-0 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samgurali EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 37%
+13% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.56/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.42
+25% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
265 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samgurali
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gagra
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2026 Gagra Gagra 0-1 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
02.11.2025 Samgurali Samgurali 1-1 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
24.08.2025 Gagra Gagra 2-0 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
07.05.2025 Samgurali Samgurali 0-2 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
16.03.2025 Gagra Gagra 0-2 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
10.11.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 4-2 HT 1-2 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samgurali
2-0
AWAY Gagra
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Samgurali vs Gagra
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Samgurali beat Gagra 2-0 in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 2 May 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Samgurali had 47% of the ball to Gagra's 53%, shots finished 16-9.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samgurali have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Samgurali and 1.17 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Samgurali vs Gagra?

Samgurali 2-0 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samgurali win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 36%, draw 30%, Gagra 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samgurali), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Samgurali) ✓ Under 2.5
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