Gagra 0-1 Samgurali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 2 Mar 2026

📅02/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.7
No
39%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-10.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
55%
+6.1pp
39%
BTTS No
45%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Samgurali EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
2.05/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.31
+45% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Samgurali
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Samgurali Samgurali 1-1 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
24.08.2025 Gagra Gagra 2-0 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
07.05.2025 Samgurali Samgurali 0-2 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
16.03.2025 Gagra Gagra 0-2 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
10.11.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 4-2 HT 1-2 Gagra Gagra GUR
01.09.2024 Gagra Gagra 1-3 HT 1-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
0-1
AWAY Samgurali
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Gagra vs Samgurali
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Samgurali edged past Gagra 1-0 away from home in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 2 Mar 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was favoured at 61%.

On the day, Gagra had 55% of the ball to Samgurali's 45%, shots finished 11-12.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samgurali lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gagra and 1.67 for Samgurali.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Samgurali?

Gagra 0-1 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 02/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Samgurali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gagra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gagra 38%, draw 27%, Samgurali 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gagra) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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