Gagra 0-2 Samgurali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
26%
+8.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-7.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Samgurali EU Bookmakers 51%
+13% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.26/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.94
+17% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
218 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Samgurali
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 4-2 HT 1-2 Gagra Gagra GUR
01.09.2024 Gagra Gagra 1-3 HT 1-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
14.05.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 2-0 HT 2-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
30.03.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
02.10.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 2-2 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
05.08.2023 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
0-2
AWAY Samgurali
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
FAQ Gagra vs Samgurali
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Samgurali beat Gagra 2-0 away from home in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 16 Mar 2025. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Gagra had 61% of the ball to Samgurali's 39%, shots finished 16-9.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samgurali lead the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gagra and 1.83 for Samgurali.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Samgurali?

Gagra 0-2 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Samgurali?

Before kick-off our model rated an Samgurali win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gagra 34%, draw 27%, Samgurali 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samgurali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Samgurali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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