Samgurali 1-1 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samgurali EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +14%
1.43/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.42
-1% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samgurali
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gagra
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
24.08.2025 Gagra Gagra 2-0 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
07.05.2025 Samgurali Samgurali 0-2 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
16.03.2025 Gagra Gagra 0-2 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
10.11.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 4-2 HT 1-2 Gagra Gagra GUR
01.09.2024 Gagra Gagra 1-3 HT 1-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
14.05.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 2-0 HT 2-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samgurali
1-1
AWAY Gagra
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Samgurali vs Gagra
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Samgurali and Gagra shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 2 Nov 2025. Half-time: 0-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, Samgurali had 56% of the ball to Gagra's 44%, shots finished 12-10.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samgurali have the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Samgurali and 1.17 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Samgurali vs Gagra?

Samgurali 1-1 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samgurali win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 48%, draw 24%, Gagra 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Samgurali), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Samgurali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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