Samgurali 0-2 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 7 May 2025

Samgurali
0-2 HT 0-1
Gagra
📅07/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Georgia - Erovnuli Liga – 2025

Samgurali vs Gagra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Samgurali v Gagra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samgurali EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.73/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.27
+23% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
237 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Samgurali vs Gagra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samgurali
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Gagra
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.03.2025 Gagra Gagra 0-2 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
10.11.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 4-2 HT 1-2 Gagra Gagra GUR
01.09.2024 Gagra Gagra 1-3 HT 1-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
14.05.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 2-0 HT 2-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
30.03.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
02.10.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 2-2 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
FAQ Samgurali vs Gagra
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Gagra beat Samgurali 2-0 away from home in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 7 May 2025. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samgurali have the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Samgurali and 0.83 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Samgurali vs Gagra?

Samgurali 0-2 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samgurali win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 44%, draw 27%, Gagra 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Samgurali) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Samgurali) ✓ Under 2.5
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