Bandırmaspor 1-0 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.8pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.63/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.88
+6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
330 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 74%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
18.5 Crosses 15.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Sivasspor
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.71 xG 1.91
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
281 Passes 378
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.12.2025 Sivasspor Sivasspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
09.02.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-4 HT 1-2 Sivasspor Sivasspor TÜK
07.05.2017 Sivasspor Sivasspor 3-0 HT 2-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
17.12.2016 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
1-0
AWAY Sivasspor
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 9
271 Passes 307
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
POST-MATCH Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor edged past Sivasspor 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bandırmaspor as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bandırmaspor had 46% of the ball to Sivasspor's 54%, shots finished 10-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sivasspor led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bandırmaspor and 2.50 for Sivasspor.

What was the final score of Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor?

Bandırmaspor 1-0 Sivasspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 54%, draw 26%, Sivasspor 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandırmaspor), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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