Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-9.6pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.3pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.6pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 18%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
2.09/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.53
+16% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
17.6 Crosses 15.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esenler Erokspor
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Pendikspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.77 xG 1.30
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
246 Passes 351
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.12.2025 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor T1L
23.02.2025 Pendikspor Pendikspor 2-2 HT 2-1 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor T1L
29.09.2024 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 4-0 HT 2-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esenler Erokspor
1-1
AWAY Pendikspor
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
446 Passes 304
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Esenler Erokspor vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esenler Erokspor and Pendikspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Esenler Erokspor at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 58% of the ball to Pendikspor's 42%, shots finished 18-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Esenler Erokspor had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Esenler Erokspor and 0.67 for Pendikspor.

What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs Pendikspor?

Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Pendikspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esenler Erokspor win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 55%, draw 21%, Pendikspor 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Esenler Erokspor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esenler Erokspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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