Pendikspor 2-2 Esenler Erokspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.34
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 29% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.72
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
20%
4.64
X/2
8%
7.34
X/X
9%
4.79
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
18%
5.49
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.07/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.62
-29% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
17.2 Crosses 14.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pendikspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Esenler Erokspor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.17 xG 2.88
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
394 Passes 181
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
30 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 4-0 HT 2-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pendikspor
2-2
AWAY Esenler Erokspor
1.42 xG 2.23
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
282 Passes 337
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pendikspor vs Esenler Erokspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pendikspor and Esenler Erokspor couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Pendikspor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Pendikspor had 47% of the ball to Esenler Erokspor's 53%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.42 to 2.23.

What was the final score of Pendikspor vs Esenler Erokspor?

Pendikspor 2-2 Esenler Erokspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pendikspor vs Esenler Erokspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pendikspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pendikspor 42%, draw 24%, Esenler Erokspor 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pendikspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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