Ümraniyespor 0-0 Sakaryaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.2
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.73
6+ Goals
8%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.22
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
10%
5.11
X/2
12%
6.39
X/X
13%
4.51
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
12%
4.55
2/X EV+ ✗
15%
13.3
Value flag · 2/X at 13.3 — our 15% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.5pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.5pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +25%
1.38/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.66
+3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
18.1 Crosses 17.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Sakaryaspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.56 xG 2.01
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
288 Passes 357
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 1-3 HT 0-2 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
28.01.2024 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-1 HT 1-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
26.08.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
0-0
AWAY Sakaryaspor
0.37 xG 0.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
274 Passes 330
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ümraniyespor vs Sakaryaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ümraniyespor and Sakaryaspor fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (36% / 34% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ümraniyespor had 47% of the ball to Sakaryaspor's 53%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.37 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ümraniyespor had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ümraniyespor and 1.00 for Sakaryaspor.

What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs Sakaryaspor?

Ümraniyespor 0-0 Sakaryaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs Sakaryaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ümraniyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 36%, draw 34%, Sakaryaspor 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ümraniyespor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ümraniyespor) ✓ Under 2.5
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