Ümraniyespor vs Keçiörengücü Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ümraniyespor v Keçiörengücü — Team-Based Signals
Ümraniyespor vs Keçiörengücü Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Keçiörengücü
T1L
2-1
HT 2-0
Keçiörengücü
T1L
Ümraniyespor 1-4 Keçiörengücü — Actual Match Statistics
Keçiörengücü cruised past Ümraniyespor 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Keçiörengücü as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Ümraniyespor had 51% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 49%, shots finished 15-19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ümraniyespor and 1.67 for Keçiörengücü.
What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs Keçiörengücü?
Ümraniyespor 1-4 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs Keçiörengücü?
Before kick-off our model rated an Keçiörengücü win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 25%, draw 18%, Keçiörengücü 57%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keçiörengücü), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.