Ümraniyespor vs Keçiörengücü Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ümraniyespor v Keçiörengücü — Team-Based Signals
Ümraniyespor vs Keçiörengücü Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Keçiörengücü
T1L
2-1
HT 2-0
Keçiörengücü
T1L
3-2
HT 1-2
Ümraniyespor
T1L
0-1
HT 0-1
Ümraniyespor
T1L
1-2
HT 1-0
Keçiörengücü
T1L
Ümraniyespor 1-2 Keçiörengücü — Actual Match Statistics
Keçiörengücü edged past Ümraniyespor 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Ümraniyespor at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ümraniyespor had 54% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 46%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.45 to 1.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Keçiörengücü's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ümraniyespor and 1.67 for Keçiörengücü.
What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs Keçiörengücü?
Ümraniyespor 1-2 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs Keçiörengücü?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ümraniyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 46%, draw 24%, Keçiörengücü 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.