Kocaelispor 0-2 Esenler Erokspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.23
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 28% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.98
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.55
X/1
18%
3.61
X/2
8%
11.45
X/X
9%
5.4
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
11%
9.59
2/X
8%
18.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 20%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.44/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.31
-32% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +104%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
22.8 Crosses 12.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kocaelispor
0-2
AWAY Esenler Erokspor
0.80 xG 1.35
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
366 Passes 280
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 14
41 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kocaelispor vs Esenler Erokspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esenler Erokspor got the better of Kocaelispor 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kocaelispor at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kocaelispor had 57% of the ball to Esenler Erokspor's 43%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 0.80 to 1.35.

What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Esenler Erokspor?

Kocaelispor 0-2 Esenler Erokspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kocaelispor vs Esenler Erokspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kocaelispor 52%, draw 24%, Esenler Erokspor 24%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kocaelispor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
15 Dec 2024
13:30 Bandırmaspor vs Gençlerbirliği Analysis →
16:00 Çorum FK vs Amed SK Analysis →
16:00 Ümraniyespor vs Keçiörengücü Analysis →