Bandırmaspor 2-2 Gençlerbirliği — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.13
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.83
6+ Goals
8%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 29% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.42
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
18%
4.06
X/2
13%
8.52
X/X
13%
4.81
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
9%
6.77
2/X
8%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +2%
1.49/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.30
+16% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
16.1 Crosses 17.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.55 xG 1.24
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
400 Passes 268
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.02.2024 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-1 HT 0-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
24.09.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 4-1 HT 2-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
21.05.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
25.12.2022 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 2-5 HT 0-2 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
23.04.2022 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 2-0 HT 1-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
04.12.2021 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-2 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
2-2
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
1.50 xG 0.45
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
315 Passes 277
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 19
30 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bandırmaspor vs Gençlerbirliği
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor and Gençlerbirliği shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bandırmaspor at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bandırmaspor had 54% of the ball to Gençlerbirliği's 46%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.50 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bandırmaspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bandırmaspor and 1.33 for Gençlerbirliği.

What was the final score of Bandırmaspor vs Gençlerbirliği?

Bandırmaspor 2-2 Gençlerbirliği in the Turkey - 1st Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandırmaspor vs Gençlerbirliği?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 45%, draw 27%, Gençlerbirliği 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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