Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Keçiörengücü v Ümraniyespor — Team-Based Signals
Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Keçiörengücü
T1L
2-1
HT 2-0
Keçiörengücü
T1L
3-2
HT 1-2
Ümraniyespor
T1L
Keçiörengücü 3-1 Ümraniyespor — Actual Match Statistics
Keçiörengücü saw off Ümraniyespor 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Keçiörengücü as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Keçiörengücü had 43% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 57%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.30 to 0.83.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Keçiörengücü and 1.67 for Ümraniyespor.
What was the final score of Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor?
Keçiörengücü 3-1 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 28/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Keçiörengücü win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Keçiörengücü 56%, draw 24%, Ümraniyespor 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keçiörengücü) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.