Erzurumspor FK 1-0 Çorum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 28 Dec 2025

📅28/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.14
6+ Goals
10%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.33
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1 EV+ ✓
23%
5.04
X/2
12%
6.4
X/X
13%
4.22
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
11%
4.81
2/X
8%
14.0
Value flag · X/1 at 5.04 — our 23% vs market 15.7%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.01/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.37
-14% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
18.9 Crosses 17.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzurumspor FK
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Çorum FK
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.97 xG 1.94
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
245 Passes 322
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.04.2025 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
30.11.2024 Çorum FK Çorum FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
28.04.2024 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 2-1 HT 0-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
10.12.2023 Çorum FK Çorum FK 4-1 HT 1-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
1-0
AWAY Çorum FK
1.49 xG 0.68
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
303 Passes 419
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK nicked a narrow win over Çorum FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Erzurumspor FK as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Erzurumspor FK had 42% of the ball to Çorum FK's 58%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.49 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Erzurumspor FK had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Erzurumspor FK and 1.50 for Çorum FK.

What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK?

Erzurumspor FK 1-0 Çorum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 28/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 44%, draw 28%, Çorum FK 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzurumspor FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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