Amed SK 3-0 Iğdır FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 28 Dec 2025

📅28/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.64
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.22
6+ Goals
7%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.41
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
15%
4.4
X/2
10%
8.3
X/X
12%
5.52
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
22.25
2/2
15%
6.29
2/X
4%
15.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 7% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amed SK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.92/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.43
+7% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
18.1 Crosses 10.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amed SK
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Iğdır FK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.33 xG 0.81
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
456 Passes 330
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2025 Amed SK Amed SK 0-0 HT 0-0 Iğdır FK Iğdır FK T1L
25.11.2024 Iğdır FK Iğdır FK 1-1 HT 1-0 Amed SK Amed SK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amed SK
3-0
AWAY Iğdır FK
3.92 xG 0.37
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
298 Passes 377
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 10
POST-MATCH Amed SK vs Iğdır FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amed SK ran out comfortable winners over Iğdır FK 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Amed SK as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Amed SK had 45% of the ball to Iğdır FK's 55%, shots finished 8-5, expected goals 3.92 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Amed SK and 0.50 for Iğdır FK.

What was the final score of Amed SK vs Iğdır FK?

Amed SK 3-0 Iğdır FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 28/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amed SK vs Iğdır FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amed SK win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Amed SK 49%, draw 21%, Iğdır FK 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amed SK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amed SK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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