Erzurumspor FK 1-1 Çorum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
4.4
6+ Goals
7%
21.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 35% vs market 30.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.54
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.8
X/1
15%
4.24
X/2
9%
8.23
X/X
11%
4.45
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
13%
6.95
2/X
7%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.0pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +8%
1.46/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.30
+20% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
18.0 Crosses 14.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzurumspor FK
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Çorum FK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.34 xG 3.39
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
234 Passes 338
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2024 Çorum FK Çorum FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
28.04.2024 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 2-1 HT 0-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
10.12.2023 Çorum FK Çorum FK 4-1 HT 1-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
1-1
AWAY Çorum FK
0.59 xG 0.48
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
277 Passes 273
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK and Çorum FK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Erzurumspor FK at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Erzurumspor FK had 51% of the ball to Çorum FK's 49%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.59 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Erzurumspor FK had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Erzurumspor FK and 1.67 for Çorum FK.

What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK?

Erzurumspor FK 1-1 Çorum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 44%, draw 25%, Çorum FK 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Erzurumspor FK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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