Boluspor 3-1 Sakaryaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.88
No
62%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
4.36
6+ Goals
7%
21.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 38% vs market 30.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.1
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
18%
4.89
X/2
11%
6.96
X/X
17%
4.14
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
10%
5.36
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-11.1pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boluspor EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.26/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.66
-14% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
20.9 Crosses 18.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boluspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sakaryaspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.00 xG 1.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
346 Passes 291
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2024 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
06.04.2024 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-0 HT 2-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
12.11.2023 Boluspor Boluspor 2-3 HT 0-2 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
24.04.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
26.11.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
28.01.2012 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-7 HT 1-4 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boluspor
3-1
AWAY Sakaryaspor
1.48 xG 1.03
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
212 Passes 363
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boluspor vs Sakaryaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boluspor got the better of Sakaryaspor 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Boluspor as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boluspor had 39% of the ball to Sakaryaspor's 61%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.48 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sakaryaspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Boluspor and 1.67 for Sakaryaspor.

What was the final score of Boluspor vs Sakaryaspor?

Boluspor 3-1 Sakaryaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boluspor vs Sakaryaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boluspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Boluspor 42%, draw 30%, Sakaryaspor 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boluspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boluspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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