Pendikspor 2-1 MKE Ankaragücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.86
6+ Goals
11%
16.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.49
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
8%
5.37
X/2
12%
6.17
X/X
12%
4.5
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
13%
4.33
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -21%
1.24/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.28
-17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
17.6 Crosses 16.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pendikspor
0W-3D-0L
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.98 xG 0.82
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 Passes 319
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 HT 1-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor T1L
18.05.2024 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-0 HT 0-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor TSL
25.12.2023 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-1 HT 0-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pendikspor
2-1
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
1.95 xG 1.26
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
296 Passes 364
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pendikspor vs MKE Ankaragücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pendikspor nicked a narrow win over MKE Ankaragücü 2-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Pendikspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Pendikspor had 44% of the ball to MKE Ankaragücü's 56%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.95 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Pendikspor and 0.67 for MKE Ankaragücü.

What was the final score of Pendikspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Pendikspor 2-1 MKE Ankaragücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pendikspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pendikspor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pendikspor 39%, draw 29%, MKE Ankaragücü 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pendikspor), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pendikspor) ✓ BTTS Yes
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