Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Esenler Erokspor v Fatih Karagümrük — Team-Based Signals
Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Esenler Erokspor
TÜK
Esenler Erokspor 2-1 Fatih Karagümrük — Actual Match Statistics
Esenler Erokspor squeezed past Fatih Karagümrük 2-1.
Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Esenler Erokspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 46% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 54%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 1.97 to 2.22.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Esenler Erokspor and 0.50 for Fatih Karagümrük.
What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Esenler Erokspor 2-1 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - 1st Division on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 36%, draw 26%, Fatih Karagümrük 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.