Eldense 0-1 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
42%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.74
6+ Goals
8%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 34% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
7.41
1/2
8%
24.0
1/X
10%
16.4
X/1
14%
9.18
X/2
14%
3.82
X/X
10%
5.01
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.22
2/X
4%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
22%
+12.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
42%
Away Win
54%
-12.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eldense EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 58%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
0.50/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.00
-46% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
19.4 Crosses 24.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eldense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.56 xG 0.71
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
348 Passes 458
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.11.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-0 HT 1-0 Eldense Eldense İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eldense
0-1
AWAY Sporting Gijon
0.60 xG 0.45
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
308 Passes 372
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eldense vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon nicked a narrow win over Eldense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Gijon as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Eldense had 46% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 54%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.60 to 0.45.

What was the final score of Eldense vs Sporting Gijon?

Eldense 0-1 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eldense vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Eldense 34%, draw 24%, Sporting Gijon 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Gijon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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