Leganes 2-0 Elche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 2 Jun 2024

Leganes
2-0 HT 2-0
Elche
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Leganes vs Elche Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.4
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.0
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.4 — our 40% vs market 35.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.22
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.9
X/1
16%
3.87
X/2
12%
10.85
X/X
17%
3.78
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
7%
9.73
2/X
7%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.3pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.1pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leganes v Elche — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leganes EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
1.45/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.44
+15% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
19.3 Crosses 16.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2

Leganes vs Elche Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leganes
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Elche
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.88 xG 1.49
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
318 Passes 263
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
10 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Elche Elche 1-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
23.07.2022 Elche Elche 2-1 HT 0-1 Leganes Leganes HAZ
26.03.2016 Leganes Leganes 0-0 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
24.10.2015 Elche Elche 0-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
21.03.2004 Leganes Leganes 2-0 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS2
19.10.2003 Elche Elche 1-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2

Leganes 2-0 Elche — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
2-0
AWAY Elche
1.31 xG 0.45
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
244 Passes 584
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 13
7 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leganes vs Elche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leganes saw off Elche 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leganes as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Leganes had 32% of the ball to Elche's 68%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 1.31 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elche led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Leganes and 0.67 for Elche.

What was the final score of Leganes vs Elche?

Leganes 2-0 Elche in the Spain - 2nd Division on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leganes vs Elche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Leganes 44%, draw 32%, Elche 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leganes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leganes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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