Servette 0-0 Lugano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Cup, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
43%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.71
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 27% vs market 21.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.26
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
12%
5.15
X/2
16%
5.99
X/X
12%
4.99
2/1
5%
25.5
2/2
19%
4.03
2/X
5%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
41%
-9.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
43%
Away Win
34%
+9.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Servette EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano EU Bookmakers 37%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
2.10/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.16
-14% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% / +83%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
313 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
47.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
37.0 Crosses 16.0
5.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Servette
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Lugano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.08 xG 1.11
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
310 Passes 385
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.05.2024 Lugano Lugano 0-2 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
18.02.2024 Servette Servette 2-1 HT 0-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
17.12.2023 Servette Servette 2-2 HT 2-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
08.10.2023 Lugano Lugano 0-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
15.04.2023 Servette Servette 0-0 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
05.04.2023 Servette Servette 2-2 HT 1-2 Lugano Lugano İSVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Servette
0-0
AWAY Lugano
0.77 xG 0.92
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 9
307 Passes 523
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 24
37 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Servette vs Lugano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette and Lugano fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Lugano at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Servette had 41% of the ball to Lugano's 59%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.77 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Servette and 0.83 for Lugano.

What was the final score of Servette vs Lugano?

Servette 0-0 Lugano in the Switzerland - Cup on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Servette vs Lugano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Servette 31%, draw 26%, Lugano 43%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lugano), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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