Lugano 0-2 Servette — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.38
Over 2.5
43%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.46
No
54%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.0pp
34%
Draw
24%
+9.5pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-7.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
38%
+19.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
62%
-19.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
64%
-18.7pp
54%
BTTS No
36%
+18.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Servette EU Bookmakers 46%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.22/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.06
-15% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
15.8 Crosses 21.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Servette
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.97 xG 2.06
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
396 Passes 306
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 Servette Servette 2-1 HT 0-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
17.12.2023 Servette Servette 2-2 HT 2-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
08.10.2023 Lugano Lugano 0-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
15.04.2023 Servette Servette 0-0 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
05.04.2023 Servette Servette 2-2 HT 1-2 Lugano Lugano İSVK
19.03.2023 Lugano Lugano 1-1 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano
0-2
AWAY Servette
1.66 xG 1.04
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
386 Passes 256
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 37
16 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lugano vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette got the better of Lugano 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 35% — and on the day Servette made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Lugano had 56% of the ball to Servette's 44%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.66 to 1.04 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lugano.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lugano and 1.33 for Servette.

What was the final score of Lugano vs Servette?

Lugano 0-2 Servette in the Switzerland - Super League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano vs Servette?

Before kick-off our model rated an Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Lugano 32%, draw 34%, Servette 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Servette), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Servette) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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