St. Gallen 1-2 Zürich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.59
Over 2.5
48%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.83
2-3 Goals
40%
2.05
4-5 Goals
22%
2.6
6+ Goals
11%
5.96
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.83 — our 27% vs market 12.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.33
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
13%
4.62
X/2
8%
8.34
X/X
6%
6.37
2/1
9%
19.85
2/2
14%
5.21
2/X
13%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
35%
+17.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
65%
-17.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-15.0pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.65/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.34
-4% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
18.3 Crosses 17.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Gallen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Zürich
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.10 xG 0.97
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 Passes 240
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Zürich Zürich 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
16.12.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-0 HT 1-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
26.08.2023 Zürich Zürich 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
23.04.2023 Zürich Zürich 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
02.04.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-2 HT 1-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
29.01.2023 Zürich Zürich 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Gallen
1-2
AWAY Zürich
0.72 xG 1.10
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
307 Passes 315
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St. Gallen vs Zürich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zürich nicked a narrow win over St. Gallen 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was St. Gallen at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, St. Gallen had 49% of the ball to Zürich's 51%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 0.72 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St. Gallen and 0.83 for Zürich.

What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Zürich?

St. Gallen 1-2 Zürich in the Switzerland - Super League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Zürich?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 44%, draw 26%, Zürich 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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