FC Fredericia 0-1 Hobro IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.89
Over 2.5
62%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.38
No
44%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.57
2-3 Goals
31%
2.14
4-5 Goals
34%
2.5
6+ Goals
13%
5.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.79
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
26.0
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
14%
5.37
X/2
11%
7.01
X/X
14%
6.33
2/1
6%
20.9
2/2
13%
4.0
2/X
6%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 12% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
31%
+6.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
69%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.2pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.48/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.09
+10% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
15.6 Crosses 20.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Fredericia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hobro IK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.79 xG 1.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
496 Passes 366
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
25.02.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
23.07.2023 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 0-2 HT 0-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
05.05.2023 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 2-2 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
23.04.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
23.10.2022 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 0-0 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fredericia
0-1
AWAY Hobro IK
1.34 xG 2.20
59% Ball Possession 41%
26 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
522 Passes 360
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
42 Box Touches 33
17 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Fredericia vs Hobro IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hobro IK squeezed past FC Fredericia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Hobro IK made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Fredericia had 59% of the ball to Hobro IK's 41%, shots finished 26-20, expected goals 1.34 to 2.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Fredericia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Fredericia and 0.83 for Hobro IK.

What was the final score of FC Fredericia vs Hobro IK?

FC Fredericia 0-1 Hobro IK in the Denmark 1st Division on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fredericia vs Hobro IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Fredericia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Fredericia 39%, draw 26%, Hobro IK 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Fredericia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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