Mikkeli 1-2 KTP Kotka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.4
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
57%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.58
2-3 Goals
35%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.22
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.58 — our 27% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
15%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
19%
+6.6pp
57%
Away Win
66%
-8.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.6pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 70%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.01/2.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/1.19
+2% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -30%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
230 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mikkeli
2W-0D-4L
AWAY KTP Kotka
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 4-0 HT 0-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
17.02.2024 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-5 HT 0-3 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FINYK
16.08.2022 Mikkeli Mikkeli 3-0 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
01.07.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 4-1 HT 2-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
20.10.2020 Mikkeli Mikkeli 2-3 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
25.07.2020 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-3 HT 1-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mikkeli
1-2
AWAY KTP Kotka
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mikkeli vs KTP Kotka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka squeezed past Mikkeli 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KTP Kotka as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mikkeli had 39% of the ball to KTP Kotka's 61%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mikkeli and 3.00 for KTP Kotka.

What was the final score of Mikkeli vs KTP Kotka?

Mikkeli 1-2 KTP Kotka in the Finland - Ykkönen on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mikkeli vs KTP Kotka?

Before kick-off our model rated an KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Mikkeli 17%, draw 26%, KTP Kotka 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KTP Kotka), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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