Iwaki 1-2 Vegalta Sendai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.72
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.3
6+ Goals
9%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +18%
1.17/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.13
-10% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
08.10.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 2-2 HT 1-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
12.03.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-1 HT 0-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
1-2
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs Vegalta Sendai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai squeezed past Iwaki 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Iwaki at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Iwaki had 63% of the ball to Vegalta Sendai's 37%, shots finished 17-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Iwaki had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Iwaki and 1.00 for Vegalta Sendai.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs Vegalta Sendai?

Iwaki 1-2 Vegalta Sendai in the Japan - J2 League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs Vegalta Sendai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 42%, draw 26%, Vegalta Sendai 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Iwaki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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