Tochigi SC 1-3 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
47%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.98
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
47%
Away Win
41%
+6.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +5%
1.03/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.09
-6% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi SC
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
253 Passes 610
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 3-0 HT 2-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
19.02.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
07.08.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-0 HT 2-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
17.04.2022 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-1 HT 1-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
01.08.2015 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
03.05.2015 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-2 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
1-3
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs Roasso Kumamoto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roasso Kumamoto saw off Tochigi SC 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Roasso Kumamoto as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 50% of the ball to Roasso Kumamoto's 50%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roasso Kumamoto led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tochigi SC and 1.83 for Roasso Kumamoto.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Tochigi SC 1-3 Roasso Kumamoto in the Japan - J2 League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 26%, draw 27%, Roasso Kumamoto 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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