Mito HollyHock 2-3 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 2 Jun 2024

Mito HollyHock
2-3 HT 0-1
V-Varen Nagasaki
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

Mito HollyHock vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 28% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
33%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mito HollyHock v V-Varen Nagasaki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.39/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.02
+17% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 572 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

Mito HollyHock vs V-Varen Nagasaki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
1W-1D-4L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
438 Passes 376
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 3-3 HT 2-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
03.05.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 4-0 HT 2-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
14.09.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-1 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
27.04.2022 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
30.10.2021 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-1 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
02.05.2021 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-0 HT 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2

Mito HollyHock 2-3 V-Varen Nagasaki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
2-3
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs V-Varen Nagasaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

V-Varen Nagasaki edged past Mito HollyHock 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; V-Varen Nagasaki found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 40% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 60%, shots finished 11-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mito HollyHock and 1.83 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Mito HollyHock 2-3 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J2 League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 36%, draw 26%, V-Varen Nagasaki 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✗ Under 2.5
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