FK Tukums 2000 1-4 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
50%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
25%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+10.4pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.6pp
50%
Away Win
64%
-14.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 69%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -14%
0.93/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.98
-15% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +15%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
221 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 79%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
10.3 Crosses 16.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Auda
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.04 xG 1.62
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
246 Passes 455
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
05.11.2023 Auda Auda 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
12.08.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-2 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LET
06.06.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-2 HT 1-2 Auda Auda LET
24.04.2023 Auda Auda 0-3 HT 0-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
01.10.2022 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-0 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
1-4
AWAY Auda
0.29 xG 6.35
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 9
163 Passes 489
67% Pass Accuracy 89%
1 Box Touches 40
9 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs Auda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda ran out comfortable winners over FK Tukums 2000 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Auda as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 30% of the ball to Auda's 70%, shots finished 5-21, expected goals 0.29 to 6.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 1.17 for Auda.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Auda?

FK Tukums 2000 1-4 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 24%, draw 26%, Auda 50%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Auda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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