FS Jelgava 1-1 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
31%
+7.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-6.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.8pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.17/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.22
-1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
16.0 Crosses 23.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Liepaja
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.56 xG 1.61
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
177 Passes 351
62% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.04.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 0-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
07.10.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
21.07.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 3-2 HT 1-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
22.05.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-1 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
09.04.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 3-2 HT 1-2 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
12.09.2020 Liepaja Liepaja 3-1 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
1-1
AWAY Liepaja
0.45 xG 1.70
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
402 Passes 297
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 31
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FS Jelgava vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FS Jelgava and Liepaja shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 57% of the ball to Liepaja's 43%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 0.45 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FS Jelgava had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FS Jelgava and 1.67 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Liepaja?

FS Jelgava 1-1 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated a FS Jelgava win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 38%, draw 27%, Liepaja 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FS Jelgava), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FS Jelgava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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