Ceara 0-1 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 2 Jun 2025

Ceara
0-1 HT 0-0
Atletico Mineiro
📅02/06/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Ceara vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
16%
6.49
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.32
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
11%
14.9
X/1
15%
5.42
X/2
11%
5.44
X/X
14%
3.41
2/1
10%
35.0
2/2
12%
4.34
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.6pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ceara v Atletico Mineiro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceara EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -11%
1.28/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.25
-19% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.1 Crosses 18.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Ceara vs Atletico Mineiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.21 xG 1.73
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
276 Passes 404
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.10.2022 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
16.06.2022 Ceara Ceara 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
09.10.2021 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 3-1 HT 2-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
25.06.2021 Ceara Ceara 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
22.11.2020 Ceara Ceara 2-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
16.08.2020 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR1

Ceara 0-1 Atletico Mineiro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
0-1
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
0.70 xG 0.42
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 8
274 Passes 343
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ceara vs Atletico Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Mineiro squeezed past Ceara 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Atletico Mineiro found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ceara had 46% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 54%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.70 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ceara and 1.33 for Atletico Mineiro.

What was the final score of Ceara vs Atletico Mineiro?

Ceara 0-1 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceara vs Atletico Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ceara 39%, draw 31%, Atletico Mineiro 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ceara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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