Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruzeiro v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Palmeiras
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
BR1
0-2
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Cruzeiro
BR1
Cruzeiro 2-1 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Cruzeiro nicked a narrow win over Palmeiras 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Cruzeiro made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cruzeiro had 36% of the ball to Palmeiras's 64%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.38 to 0.68.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cruzeiro and 1.50 for Palmeiras.
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?
Cruzeiro 2-1 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?
Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 35%, draw 28%, Palmeiras 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.