Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruzeiro v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Palmeiras
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
BR1
0-2
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Cruzeiro
BR1
3-1
HT 2-1
Cruzeiro
BR1
Cruzeiro 1-2 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras nicked a narrow win over Cruzeiro 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cruzeiro had 46% of the ball to Palmeiras's 54%, shots finished 9-31, expected goals 0.71 to 2.87 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Palmeiras's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cruzeiro and 1.67 for Palmeiras.
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?
Cruzeiro 1-2 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?
Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 24%, draw 28%, Palmeiras 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.