Criciuma 0-3 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 5 Dec 2024

Criciuma
0-3 HT 0-1
Flamengo
📅05/12/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Criciuma vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 29% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.46
1/2
9%
25.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
11%
6.49
X/2
12%
5.0
X/X
12%
4.94
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
24%
3.1
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.4pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Criciuma v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Criciuma EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 46%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.94/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.31
+2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
21.5 Crosses 16.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Criciuma vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Criciuma
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Flamengo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.23 xG 2.49
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
253 Passes 397
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 20
8 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
20.07.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 0-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR1
23.11.2014 Flamengo Flamengo 1-1 HT 1-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR1
24.08.2014 Criciuma Criciuma 0-2 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
29.09.2013 Flamengo Flamengo 4-1 HT 3-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR1
08.06.2013 Criciuma Criciuma 0-3 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
18.10.2004 Flamengo Flamengo 3-1 HT 1-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR1

Criciuma 0-3 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Criciuma
0-3
AWAY Flamengo
0.67 xG 1.89
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
297 Passes 556
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Criciuma vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo cruised past Criciuma 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Criciuma had 38% of the ball to Flamengo's 62%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 0.67 to 1.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Criciuma and 2.50 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Criciuma vs Flamengo?

Criciuma 0-3 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 29%, draw 25%, Flamengo 46%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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