Internacional 0-1 Botafogo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.72
6+ Goals
9%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 31% vs market 25.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.91
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
19%
5.77
X/2
16%
5.59
X/X
14%
4.4
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
9%
3.74
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.9pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.34/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.27
+18% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
286 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
18.4 Crosses 17.9
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Botafogo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.62 xG 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
407 Passes 331
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.07.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 1-0 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
07.12.2023 Internacional Internacional 3-1 HT 1-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
13.08.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 3-1 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
17.10.2022 Botafogo Botafogo 0-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
20.06.2022 Internacional Internacional 2-3 HT 2-1 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
13.12.2020 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 1-1 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
0-1
AWAY Botafogo
0.90 xG 0.08
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
430 Passes 184
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
43 Box Touches 2
40 Crosses 1
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Botafogo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo nicked a narrow win over Internacional 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Botafogo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Internacional had 67% of the ball to Botafogo's 33%, shots finished 14-2, expected goals 0.90 to 0.08 — the balance of chances actually favoured Internacional.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Internacional and 1.50 for Botafogo.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Botafogo?

Internacional 0-1 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Botafogo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Internacional 40%, draw 28%, Botafogo 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Internacional) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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