Botafogo 1-0 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.0
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.59
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.05
X/1
14%
3.97
X/2
11%
8.06
X/X
16%
3.92
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
16%
6.97
2/X
6%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
50%
-11.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
22%
+11.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.34/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.47
+2% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.5 Crosses 14.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Internacional
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.10 xG 1.79
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 Passes 432
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
07.12.2023 Internacional Internacional 3-1 HT 1-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
13.08.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 3-1 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
17.10.2022 Botafogo Botafogo 0-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
20.06.2022 Internacional Internacional 2-3 HT 2-1 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
13.12.2020 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 1-1 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
29.08.2020 Botafogo Botafogo 0-2 HT 0-2 Internacional Internacional BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo
1-0
AWAY Internacional
0.53 xG 0.74
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
281 Passes 322
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 4
19 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Botafogo vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo squeezed past Internacional 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Botafogo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Botafogo had 48% of the ball to Internacional's 52%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.53 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Botafogo and 1.83 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Botafogo vs Internacional?

Botafogo 1-0 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 38%, draw 29%, Internacional 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botafogo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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