Gremio vs Vitoria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Vitoria — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Vitoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Vitoria
BRK
0-3
HT 0-1
Gremio
BRK
0-0
HT 0-0
Gremio
BR1
4-0
HT 2-0
Vitoria
BR1
1-1
HT 1-1
Vitoria
BR1
1-3
HT 0-2
Gremio
BR1
Gremio 2-0 Vitoria — Actual Match Statistics
Gremio got the better of Vitoria 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Gremio as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Gremio had 59% of the ball to Vitoria's 41%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.36 to 0.16.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gremio had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gremio and 0.33 for Vitoria.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Vitoria?
Gremio 2-0 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Vitoria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gremio 41%, draw 31%, Vitoria 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.